The findings of the research have been published in the Journal Current Science. The research has been led by Dr. Sarita Azad, Associate Professor, School of Mathematica and Statistical Sciences, and co-authored by her Btech. student Vansh Kodesia and Ms. Ankur Suri from the University of Washington, Tacoma, USA.The findings of the research have been published in the Journal Current Science. The research has been led by Dr. Sarita Azad, Associate Professor, School of Mathematica and Statistical Sciences, and co-authored by her Btech. student Vansh Kodesia and Ms. Ankur Suri from the University of Washington, Tacoma, USA.

The economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic has been devastating for countries across the world. In this work, authors propose a novel method for estimating reproduction number (R0) using community mobility to obtain optimal vaccination coverage (OVC). Different scenarios for achieving the desired immunization rates are evaluated using nonlinear regression models. The impact of recovery rates on mobility is also assessed to determine how the economy would have fared in various scenarios. Lock downs due to COVID-19, which restricted mobility, were the main cause of the decline in GDP. For the city of Mumbai in India, with an increase in recovery rate from 1% to 5%, it was observed that mobility and thus economic activity might have been restored to some extent. The findings presented here may aid the governing bodies in developing more effective emergency response plans.

The paper also got best paper award in Inter IIT tech fest., 2023